
Our market
Small businesses’
confidence returning after
years of uncertainty
SMEs: An important driver of the economy
It’s clear that SMEs punch above their weight when it
comes to powering the economy. Making up 99% of UK
businesses and 61% of private sector jobs, SMEs keep
our communities vibrant and our high streets lively. Based
on the results of our 2023 SME survey, Funding Circle’s
lending not only contributed £6.9 billion to the UK’s gross
domestic product (GDP) but also played a pivotal role in
supporting 95,800 jobs. Beyond employment and GDP
contributions, the economic activity supported by these
loans generated £1.6 billion in tax receipts.
Details of the impact report
can be found here:
UK market:
There are a range of challenges impacting SMEs,
including the highest base rate in 15 years, supply chain
issues and a slowing demand for goods and services.
Over the last few years, we have seen how SMEs have
responded to these challenges with specific behaviours
that emerged during the pandemic. These can be broadly
categorised into three groups:
5 Survivors — those most negatively impacted by
the economic environment;
5 Hedgers — those focused on precautionary
measures, such as building up or maintaining cash
reserves; and
5 Thrivers — those who continued to adapt, invest
and grow their businesses.
In the past year, the number of survivors remained
steady, and the size of hedgers and thrivers fluctuated
as businesses responded to the changing economic
conditions. As individuals and households felt the impacts
of the cost of living crisis and businesses responded to
base rate rises, business confidence, and therefore the
amount of thrivers, dropped in the middle of the year.
However, this group stabilised as the conditions eased
throughout the second half of the year.
SMEs are growing in optimism for the long term, with ONS
reporting a 11% rise in SMEs reporting no concerns for the
future of their business over the last year.
However, they’re still exercising caution in the short term,
with more hedgers holding off investment decisions
as they seek to maintain cash reserves in the face of
uncertainty. This is demonstrated by almost half of the
SMEs surveyed reporting they had paused, delayed,
or cancelled a business investment in 2023 due to
economic conditions. The proportion of SMEs expecting
to immediately increase investment in their business also
fell. The research shows SMEs prefer to wait for signs of
demand recovery before making investments.
Nonetheless, SMEs are clearly ready to unlock their
potential. We are pleased to see nearly half plan to
grow their business over the next year. Data from the
Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) supports this,
finding that the share of SMEs expecting to increase
investment over the next quarter towards the end of 2023
was in line with the 2022 level, indicating the cohort of
thrivers has remained stable.
SME confidence is finally on the rise
Overall, SMEs are powering our economies and
communities, and with the right support they are well-
placed to continue doing so. The FSB’s Small Business
Index (SBI) indicates an overall increase in business
confidence levels during 2023. Although economic
weaknesses seem to influence SME sentiment, more
SMEs are reporting no risk of insolvency compared to
equivalent levels last year. Funding Circle survey data
also indicates that 87% of small businesses feel more
optimistic or have neutral sentiments for their business
performance for the next 12 months, suggesting a
positive outlook for the UK economy. Not only this, they
are ready to invest when the opportunity arises, with
medium term growth ambitions rising.
SMEs access to finance is growing
Despite this, confidence can only get you so far.
Traditional credit conditions have tightened due to
monetary policy decisions and economic headwinds, but
this hasn’t stopped SMEs accessing finance.
SME confidence has increased across a range of metrics over the last year, but
support is needed to unlock the full potential of the UK’s small businesses who are
optimistic for growth once trading conditions ease and as and when demand for
goods and services recovers. Resilience is on the rise and businesses feel hopeful
for the future, as SMEs report an increase in sentiment towards long term success.
STRATEGIC REPORT
Funding Circle Holdings plc | Annual Report and Accounts 202310